Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		RWDM Brussels

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.78	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.5
	2.73	3.53	2.30	Watch
	2.72	3.44	2.33
	2.77	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
33.6%

Draw
26.9%

RWDM Brussels
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 16. N'jo E. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. (C) 28. Wilmots R. 10. Hazard K. 8. Sarmiento D. 24. De Sart A. 11. Lefebvre A. 9. Diouf O.	1. Lathouwers B. (G) 99. Persyn T. 4. Doudaev D. R. (C) 83. Lemmens M. 27. Chaib Y. 26. Kestens P. 30. Loune A. 6. Huguinho 29. Maurer A. 10. Robail G. 14. Dumont O.
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 17. Da Silva F. 20. Gobitaka F. 13. Mouchamps D. 5. Ngawa P. 18. Paulet S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F.	17. Adamo V. 28. Hubert G. (G) 8. Jacob Montes 19. Montoro F. 70. Nkurunziza M. (G) 20. Poku K. 45. Sanhaji B. 77. Segovia M. 47. Verhaeghe M.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Frans F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', Hazard K. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Kestens P. ⚽, Maurer A. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Robail G. ⚽, Dumont O. (A),
17', 1 - 2, De Sart A. ⚽, Diouf O. (A),
18', Huguinho 🟨,
19', 2 - 2, Lefebvre A. ⚽, Hazard K. (A),
28', 3 - 2, Lefebvre A. ⚽, Diouf O. (A),
45+1', Persyn T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Loune A. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
57', Huguinho 🟨,
58', Dumont O. 🟨,
62', Robail G. ↓, Verhaeghe M. ↑,
63', Hazard K. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
63', N'jo E. ↓, Ngawa P. ↑,
65', Sarmiento D. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
66', 4 - 2, Diouf O. ⚽, D'Ostilio J. (A),
70', Chaib Y. 🟨,
74', Kestens P. ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
81', Diouf O. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
83', Lefebvre A. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
84', Lemmens M. ↓, Sanhaji B. ↑,
84', Maurer A. ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
90+1', Wasinski M. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 3, Segovia M. (Pen),
90+3', Verhaeghe M. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 8).

RFC Liège is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RWDM Brussels has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.10.25	Lierse - RFC Liège	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	RFC Liège - Genk U23	5:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lommel - RFC Liège	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	RFC Liège - Beveren	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	RFC Liège - Anderlecht U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLT
- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.10.25	RWDM Brussels - Brugge U23	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Eupen - RWDM Brussels	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Gent U23 - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	RWDM Brussels - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Lierse - RWDM Brussels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.01.25	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	2:1
08.11.24	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	2:1
Belgian National Division 1
25.01.20	RWDM Brussels - RFC Liège	2:2
06.10.19	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	1:0
13.01.19	RFC Liège - RWDM Brussels	0:0

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