Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 26 March 2023, Sunday


	RFC Liège		Gent B

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.75
	1.45	3.85	5.5
	1.33	4.7	9.46
	1.3	5.1	8.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	4.66 ↑ (3.24)	7.75 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
68.4%

Draw
19.7%

Gent B
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

26.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFC Liège's performance.

Gent B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

RFC Liège - Gent B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenger Pro League and 7).

RFC Liège in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gent B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match RFC Liège is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's RFC Liège to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian National Division 1
22.03.23	RFC Liège - URSL Vise	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Rupel Boom - RFC Liège	0:4 ✺
19.02.23	RFC Liège - Royal Antwerp 2	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWT
- AA Gent B
Belgian National Division 1
18.03.23	Gent B - Charleroi B	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Gent B - Thes Sport	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Gent B - Knokke	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	RAAL La Louvière - Gent B	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Leuven B - Gent B	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
10.12.22	Gent B - RFC Liège	2:2

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