Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4.16	5.08
	1.6	4.28	4.86	Watch
	1.6	3.75	4.6
	1.6	3.82	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)	3.96 ↑ (3.63)	4.83 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
57.6%

Draw
23.3%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

19.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFC Liège's performance.

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: RFC Liège will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre A. (G) 2. Wasinski M. 5. Ngawa P. (C) 27. Corneillie V. 23. Reynaerts S. 28. Wilmots R. 10. Hazard K. 8. Ruiz Atil K. 15. Arslan A. 7. Bruggeman B. 19. Soelle F.	31. Embela A. (G) 12. Ramalho J. 4. Jahic H. 27. De Medina N. 5. Thea A. 23. Bettinger M. 94. Ephestion T. 17. Cachbach M. (C) 11. Florica L. 10. Ion R. 32. Mbalanda J.
Substitutes
24. De Sart A. 9. Gedikli E. 20. Gobitaka F. 11. Lefebvre A. 13. Mouchamps D. 26. Pirotte L. 6. Shkurti K. 21. Wauters T. (G)	18. Berberi R. 81. Dailly N. 6. Kis K. 8. Lake T. 13. Medfai M. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 9. Omosanya M. 2. Sarkic O. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Englebert G.	Balan F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arslan A. ⚽,
31', Thea A. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Hazard K. ⚽, Wasinski M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Bettinger M. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
62', Florica L. 🟨,
65', Reynaerts S. 🟨,
65', Soelle F. ↓, Gedikli E. ↑,
65', Hazard K. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
67', Florica L. ↓, Lake T. ↑,
70', Reynaerts S. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
81', Mbalanda J. ↓, Dailly N. ↑,
85', Ruiz Atil K. ↓, Shkurti K. ↑,
85', Bruggeman B. ↓, Pirotte L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Dailly N. ⚽, Ion R. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

ROCCM is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 3.

RFC Liège is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ROCCM is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, RFC Liège is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 2.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	RFC Liege	7	1	2	4	11:18	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
21.03.26	Beveren - RFC Liège	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	RFC Liège - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Kortrijk - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	RFC Liège - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLW
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
20.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Genk U23	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kortrijk - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1 ✺
11.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Seraing	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RWDM Brussels	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Beveren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1
Belgian National Division 1
12.03.23	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1
30.04.22	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:1
01.03.20	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1
23.11.19	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:2
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
04.05.18	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:1 ET
25.03.18	RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:1

RFC Liège - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide