Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 18

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade de Rocourt (Liège)

Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)


	RFC Liège		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.25
	2.09	3.71	3.3
	1.97	3.82	3.4	Watch
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.97	3.42	3.34
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.31)	3.24 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
45.8%

Draw
25.8%

Lokeren
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

RFC Liège - Lokeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. RFC Liège will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lokeren will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFC Liège: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. RFC Liège (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 2. Wasinski M. (C) 5. Ngawa P. 4. Bustin J. 14. Lucker L. 28. Wilmots R. 11. Lefebvre A. 8. Sarmiento D. 24. De Sart A. 7. Bruggeman B. 9. Diouf O.	1. Troost T. (G) 26. Vervaque J. 33. Camara D. 29. Spegelaere A. 16. Palacios J. 55. Van Aerschot S. 7. Brrou A. 14. Janssen T. 10. Soumare M. 8. Elejalde I. 44. Nainggolan R. (C)
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 17. Da Silva F. 20. Gobitaka F. 13. Mouchamps D. 18. Paulet S. 23. Reynaerts S. 6. Shkurti K. 19. Soelle F.	39. Baert Y. (G) 9. Boere T. 25. Boonen I. 5. Boujouh N. 6. Brebels S. 3. Dianganga J. 19. Lloci M. 27. Van den Bergh R. 2. Vinck J.
Coaches
Englebert G.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Elejalde I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wilmots R. 🟨,
56', Bustin J. 🟨,
60', Diouf O. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Lefebvre A. ↓, Mouchamps D. ↑,
68', Sarmiento D. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
75', Van Aerschot S. 🟨,
84', Soumare M. ↓, Boonen I. ↑,
84', Elejalde I. ↓, Lloci M. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Nainggolan R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Brrou A. ↓, Vinck J. ↑,
90+3', Palacios J. ↓, Boujouh N. ↑,
90+4', De Sart A. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 11).

RFC Liège is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokeren is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lokeren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

RFC Liège could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, RFC Liège won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.12.25	RFC Liège - Kortrijk	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Francs Borains - RFC Liège	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	RFC Liège - Gent U23	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLT
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
14.12.25	Lokeren - Genk U23	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Gent U23 - Lokeren	1:3 ✺
29.11.25	Lokeren - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lokeren - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Seraing - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.08.25	Lokeren - RFC Liège	0:1
15.03.25	Lokeren - RFC Liège	2:1
15.12.24	RFC Liège - Lokeren	0:1

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