Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 16

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)


	Gent U23		Lokeren

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.78
	2.33	3.67	2.76	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.29	3.35	2.74
	2.33	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.53)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	2.75 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent U23
39.7%

Draw
26.7%

Lokeren
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lokeren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gent U23 - Lokeren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gent U23 will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lokeren will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lokeren (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokeren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Peersman K. (G) 35. De Meyer G. (C) 38. Soumah M. 26. Lagae B. 39. Ayinde A. 67. Soroka O. 62. Asselman W. 61. Abdullahi A. 78. Mukuna D. 79. Vydysh R. 59. Seck E. H.	1. Troost T. (G) 26. Vervaque J. 33. Camara D. 29. Spegelaere A. 16. Palacios J. 6. Brebels S. 7. Brrou A. 10. Soumare M. 14. Janssen T. 55. Van Aerschot S. 44. Nainggolan R.
Substitutes
60. Buggea S. 56. Diallo M. 58. Djamba Shango J. 73. Donny Sylla A. 31. Evers B. (G) 65. Morel B. 77. Vanderdonck G. 54. Vernemmen H. 66. Vidarsson V.	39. Baert Y. (G) 9. Boere T. 25. Boonen I. 5. Boujouh N. 3. Dianganga J. 8. Elejalde I. 19. Lloci M. 27. Van den Bergh R. 18. Wasiu S.
Coaches
Matton T.	Vreven S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Janssen T. ⚽, Brrou A. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Mukuna D. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 1 - 2, Nainggolan R. ⚽, Brrou A. (A),
28', Soumare M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 3, Soumare M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Spegelaere A. 🟨,
63', Abdullahi A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Brrou A. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
72', Soumare M. ↓, Wasiu S. ↑,
73', Soroka O. ↓, Buggea S. ↑,
73', Mukuna D. ↓, Donny Sylla A. ↑,
74', Abdullahi A. ↓, Vanderdonck G. ↑,
75', Soumah M. 🟨,
76', Nainggolan R. ↓, Lloci M. ↑,
76', Van Aerschot S. ↓, Boonen I. ↑,
81', Ayinde A. 🟨,
82', Seck E. H. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
82', Wasiu S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In recent matches, Gent U23 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokeren is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lokeren - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Gent U23	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Gent U23 - Genk U23	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	RFC Liège - Gent U23	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gent U23 - Eupen	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Francs Borains - Gent U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWL
- KSC Lokeren
Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.11.25	Lokeren - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Lokeren - Brugge U23	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Seraing - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Lokeren - Francs Borains	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Anderlecht U23 - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTTW

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