The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
RFS 55%
Draw 25.2%
Hamrun Spartans 19.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.3%
24%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.1%
21.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.9%
7.1%
8.9%
RFS - Hamrun Spartans Predictions
Users Predictions:
RFS will win
(46 of 54 users predict this - 85.19%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.72% โ 94.66%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RFS will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 11. Savalnieks R. 2. Filipovic A. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 25. Mares P. 26. Panic S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 70. Talla M. 10. Ikaunieks J. 37. Wouter T. 7. Diomande I.
1. Bonello H. (C) 94. Camenzuli R. 27. Bjelicic O. 91. Emerson 2. Rafael Compri 33. Simkus D. 25. Ederson 13. Polito V. 10. Mbong J. 9. Thioune S. 19. Koffi N.
Substitutes
71. Diedhiou B. 32. Facu 9. Ikaunieks D. 49. Kigurs M. 22. Lemajic D. 16. Nerugals J. (G) 81. Rakic S. 27. Sibass R. 21. Stuglis E. 13. Vilkovs S. (G)
7. Attard S. 12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 24. Coric A. 47. El Fanis M. 8. Garcia M. 77. Hadzi M. 80. Jonny 6. Letherby D. 3. Micallef N. 5. Xerri S.
Coaches
Morozs V.
Modica G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Thioune S. ⚽, Koffi N. (A),
14', Emerson 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Panic S. (Pen),
18', Bonello H. 🟨,
18', Mares P. 🟨,
19', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
29', Modica G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Wouter T. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
56', Panic S. 🟨,
63', Diomande I. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
65', Simkus D. ↓, Coric A. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Polito V. ⚽, Coric A. (A),
73', Ederson ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
75', Talla M. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
82', Thioune S. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
86', Coric A. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Lemajic D. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
Recent performances by RFS have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hamrun is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, RFS is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, RFS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.