Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.7
	1.65	3.84	4.51
	1.64	4.07	4.69
	1.69	3.75	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)	3.82 ↑ (3.41)	4.33 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Excelsior Virton
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

25.9%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne's performance.

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Excelsior Virton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excelsior Virton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Mbaye I. ⚽,
37', 0 - 2, Mbaye I. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', 0 - 3, Arib G. ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, ⚽,
54', 2 - 3, ⚽,
64', 🟥,
70', 3 - 3, ⚽,
80', 4 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

ROCCM is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Virton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match ROCCM is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ROCCM won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
29.03.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Tubize	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Stockay-Warfusée	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	Union Rochefortoise - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Tournai - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLW
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
05.04.25	Excelsior Virton - Stockay-Warfusée	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Excelsior Virton - Mons	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
08.03.25	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:0
14.09.24	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:2
Belgian National Division 1
09.12.23	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3

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