Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Union Rochefortoise		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.65	1.34
	7.19	4.74	1.35
	6.99	4.84	1.36	Watch
	7	4.2	1.33
	7.4	4.55	1.34
	4.6	3.9	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↑ (4.6)	4.48 ↑ (3.9)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Rochefortoise
13.7%

Draw
20.3%

Excelsior Virton
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

22.8%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

21.6%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Rochefortoise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Union Rochefortoise's form might have worsened.

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior Virton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Rochefortoise than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-5%)

Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', 1 - 3, ⚽,
58', 1 - 4, ⚽,
69', 2 - 4, ⚽,
71', 2 - 5, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Rochefortoise won 0.

Union Rochefortoise is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Virton is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Virton is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Union Rochefortoise won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Rochefortoise won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Union Rochefortoise	7	4	2	1	14:7	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Rochefortoise
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
25.04.26	Union Rochefortoise - Habay-la-Neuve	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Meux - Union Rochefortoise	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Union Rochefortoise - Mons	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Meux	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
25.04.26	Excelsior Virton - Meux	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mons - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
28.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:1
09.11.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:4
27.09.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:2
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	1:2
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
26.04.25	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	1:1
30.03.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:0
26.01.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:2

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