Match Info

3. Liga - West - Round 24

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Rača Bratislava		Častkovce

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.42
	2.46	3.52	2.37
	2.23	3.61	2.72	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.45
	2.46	3.42	2.42
	2.88	3.3	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.88)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	2.42 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rača Bratislava
36.3%

Draw
26.4%

Častkovce
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26.4%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rača Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rača Bratislava's performance.

Častkovce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rača Bratislava than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Častkovce than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Rača Bratislava - Častkovce Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

Rača is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Častkovce has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rača may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rača won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rača won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Raca	9	2	4	3	13:15	-2	10
13	Castkovce	9	2	2	5	17:20	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Rača Bratislava
Slovak 3 Liga West
19.04.26	Družstevník Veľké Ludince - Rača Bratislava	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rača Bratislava - Slovan Galanta	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Beluša - Rača Bratislava	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Rača Bratislava - Nové Zámky	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Spartak Myjava - Rača Bratislava	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- OK Častkovce
Slovak 3 Liga West
18.04.26	Častkovce - Baník HN Prievidza & Handlová	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	MŠK Senec - Častkovce	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	DAC Dunajská Streda B - Častkovce	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Častkovce - Komárno B	4:2 ✺
14.03.26	Trenčín B - Častkovce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak 3 Liga West
27.09.25	Častkovce - Rača Bratislava	1:1
17.05.25	Častkovce - Rača Bratislava	3:1
10.11.24	Rača Bratislava - Častkovce	0:0
09.03.24	Častkovce - Rača Bratislava	3:0
13.08.23	Rača Bratislava - Častkovce	1:1

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