The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rače 52.6%
Draw 22.7%
Ljutomer 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
23.4%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
22.4%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rače has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rače's performance.
Ljutomer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ljutomer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rače than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rače that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljutomer than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ljutomer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rače - Ljutomer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 11th and 9th).
In recent outings, Rače has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ljutomer has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ljutomer may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rače holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Rače has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rače against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).