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Current Win Probability
Racing 47.6%
Draw 29.1%
Belgrano 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
28%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
29.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Racing - Belgrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
In recent outings, Racing has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Belgrano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Racing is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:5 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Belgrano W
11
5
2
4
19:12
7
17
9
Racing Club W
10
4
2
4
17:11
6
14
Last Results with these Odds
Racing - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.