The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 32.7%
Draw 31.4%
San Lorenzo de Almagro 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
30.3%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
31%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
San Lorenzo de Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Belgrano - San Lorenzo de Almagro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
In recent outings, Belgrano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
San Lorenzo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Belgrano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Belgrano has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Belgrano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).