Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Racing Beirut		Al-Abbassieh

	1	X	2
	7.9	4.15	1.35	Watch
	8.32	4.14	1.38
	7.5	4	1.36
	8.25	4.62	1.37
	8	4	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.99 ↑ (5.05)	4.18 ↑ (3.78)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Beirut
11.4%

Draw
21.8%

Al-Abbassieh
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

23.9%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

16.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Beirut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Beirut's form might have worsened.

Al-Abbassieh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Abbassieh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Beirut than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Beirut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Abbassieh than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Abbassieh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Racing Beirut - Al Abbassieh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Akuka I. ⚽, Farhat S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Farhat S. ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Farhat S. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Ayoub A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Abbassieh is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Beirut
Lebanese Premier League
20.12.25	Racing Beirut - Nejmeh	1:4 ✺
12.12.25	Bourj - Racing Beirut	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Racing Beirut - Tadamon Sour	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Safa Beyrut	1:6 ✺
08.11.25	Racing Beirut - Shabab Al Sahel	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Al-Abbassieh FC
Lebanese Premier League
19.12.25	Bourj - Al-Abbassieh	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Abbassieh - Al-Ansar Beirut	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hekmeh - Al-Abbassieh	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
01.07.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	1:4
31.05.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	2:1
01.05.25	Al-Abbassieh - Racing Beirut	0:2
12.02.25	Racing Beirut - Al-Abbassieh	0:0

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