Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: BGL Ligue - Round 11

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Achille Hammerel (Luxembourg)


	Racing Luxembourg		Mondercange

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.29	5.31	8.19
	1.3	5.19	7.98	Watch
	1.27	5.25	8.25
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	5.13 ↓ (5.15)	7.82 ↓ (7.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Luxembourg
70.6%

Draw
17.8%

Mondercange
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.7%

16.5%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Mondercange have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Luxembourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mondercange than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Luxembourg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ruffier R. (G) 19. Amiri D. 8. Chibani B. 42. Delferriere A. 20. Fonrose F. 11. Gomes A. 7. Mabella Y. 22. Mazie O. 30. Monge N. 44. Skenderovic D. (C) 33. Sow I.	1. da Silva T. (G) 8. Amadei J. 23. Balde S. 15. Costa R. 26. Klapp R. 5. Marasi L. 9. Noumansana I. 77. Perkovic B. 27. Robert T. 11. Rodrigues N. 6. Swistek J. (C)
Substitutes
6. Ahmetxhekaj D. 25. Almada Correia L. 77. Dewalque L. 47. Diop A. 10. Ikene F. 31. Sabanovic E. (G) 18. Seydi M.	45. Alilovic A. (G) 13. Bah M. 88. Bea R. 14. De Matos Coimbra D. 74. Drinka A. T. 70. Rocha Fonseca Y. 12. Silva V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Amiri D. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Robert T. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Robert T. ⚽,
57', Delferriere A. ↓, Seydi M. ↑,
57', Amiri D. ↓, Ikene F. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Mabella Y. ⚽,
63', Chibani B. 🟨,
68', Gomes A. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
68', Monge N. ↓, Ahmetxhekaj D. ↑,
75', Amadei J. ↓, Drinka A. T. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Mabella Y. ⚽, Mazie O. (A),
78', 3 - 2, Chibani B. ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, Mazie O. ⚽,
82', Chibani B. ↓, Dewalque L. ↑,
82', Klapp R. ↓, Rocha Fonseca Y. ↑,
84', Costa R. 🟨,
85', 5 - 2, Mabella Y. ⚽,
86', Rodrigues N. ↓, Silva V. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Racing Luxembourg is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mondercange has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing Luxembourg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Racing Luxembourg is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Racing Luxembourg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Luxembourg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
19.10.24	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Pétange	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	F91 Dudelange - Racing Luxembourg	2:4 ✺
01.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Fola Esch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWW
- FC Mondercange
Luxembourg National Division
20.10.24	Mondercange - Wiltz 71	0:3 ✺
29.09.24	Rodange - Mondercange	3:2 ✺
25.09.24	Mondercange - Differdange 03	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Victoria Rosport - Mondercange	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Mondercange - Bettembourg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.05.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange	1:1
02.12.23	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:4
16.04.23	Mondercange - Racing Luxembourg	0:1
06.11.22	Racing Luxembourg - Mondercange	2:2

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