Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 7

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange)


	Swift Hesperange		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.35	2.08
	3.05	3.6	2.13
	3.46	3.64	1.91	Watch
	2.98	3.4	2.12
	3	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.81)	3.48 ↓ (3.69)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
29.4%

Draw
26.2%

Racing Luxembourg
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

24.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Racing Luxembourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swift Hesperange than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Racing Luxembourg will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing Luxembourg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Dupire G. (G) 89. Bochu N. 3. El Foukhari I. 5. Erkus E. 24. Herbin G. 9. Lespinasse L. 11. Morabet M. 21. Nsombi G. 26. Prempeh J. (C) 15. Savane H. 36. Skenderovic K.	16. Ruffier R. (G) 11. Diakhite A. 6. Freire B. 10. Ikene F. (C) 4. Kada J. 12. Lesquoy T. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N. 23. Qevani A. 7. Stolz D.
Substitutes
8. Belliard H. 6. Bouazzati Y. 23. Cisse M. 22. Drame S. 42. Kiambu C. (G) 7. Kocan M. . Sirianni F.	99. Azemi E. (G) 14. Azong C. 34. Bisevac A. 17. Dupays H. 9. Herrmann C. 3. Hofland M. 41. Yans E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Stolz D. ⚽,
32', Savane H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Skenderovic K. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
46', Morabet M. ↓, Belliard H. ↑,
65', Erkus E. ↓, Bouazzati Y. ↑,
76', Diakhite A. ↓, Herrmann C. ↑,
76', Matubanzila S. ↓, Hofland M. ↑,
79', Bochu N. ↓, Drame S. ↑,
81', Monge N. 🟨,
82', Qevani A. ↓, Azong C. ↑,
83', Bouazzati Y. 🟨,
84', Bouazzati Y. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', Ikene F. 🟨,
90+2', Stolz D. ↓, Bisevac A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 3.

Swift Hesperange has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Racing Luxembourg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Swift Hesperange won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	F91 Dudelange - Swift Hesperange	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Swift Hesperange - Jeunesse Canach	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Swift Hesperange - Rodange	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg National Division
22.11.25	Atert Bissen - Racing Luxembourg	3:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.25	Etzella Ettelbruck - Racing Luxembourg	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
02.11.25	Racing Luxembourg - Käerjéng 97	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	Differdange 03 - Racing Luxembourg	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Progrès Niedercorn - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
12.04.25	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	3:1
Luxembourg Cup
09.11.24	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	2:0
Luxembourg National Division
19.10.24	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	1:0
17.03.24	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	2:5
23.09.23	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	2:1
19.02.23	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	1:3
20.08.22	Swift Hesperange - Racing Luxembourg	2:0

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