Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday


	Racing Madrid		Alcorcón B

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.28
	3.14	2.96	2.33
	3.06	3.03	2.33	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	2.86	3.33	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Madrid
30.4%

Draw
30.2%

Alcorcón B
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.5%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alcorcón B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alcorcón B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing Madrid won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alcorcón B - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.02.26	México - Racing Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Carabanchel - Racing Madrid	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Madrid - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Racing Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWLTL
- Alcorcón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.03.26	Alcorcón B - Las Rozas	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Unión Adarve - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Alcorcón B - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Madrid C - Alcorcón B	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Alcorcón B - Siello	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
25.10.25	Alcorcón B - Racing Madrid	0:0

Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide