The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Madrid 10.9%
Draw 22.6%
Móstoles URJC 66.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
23.7%
60.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.2%
22.9%
62.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Móstoles URJC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Racing Madrid - Móstoles URJC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
Racing Madrid has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Móstoles is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Móstoles is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing Madrid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Watch
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