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Current Win Probability
Racing Madrid 11.2%
Draw 23.5%
Villaverde San Andrés 65.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.6%
27.2%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
26.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Madrid's form might have worsened.
Villaverde San Andrés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villaverde San Andrés's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villaverde San Andrés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Carballar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Racing Madrid is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Villaverde has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Racing Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Villaverde is the clear favorite.
We predict that Villaverde will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing Madrid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Racing Madrid won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
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