Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Trival Valderas		Racing Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.7	3.37	4.63
	3.70	3.79	1.83	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.6
	1.67	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.56)	3.36 ↓ (3.67)	4.06 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
46.6%

Draw
29.2%

Racing Madrid
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trival Valderas's form might have worsened.

Racing Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trival Valderas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Madrid than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Pascual D. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Peredo S. ⚽,
38', 2 - 2, ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Trival Valderas has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Racing Madrid's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Trival Valderas is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Trival Valderas will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Las Rozas - Trival Valderas	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Trival Valderas - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Trival Valderas	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Trival Valderas - Atlético Madrid C	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Siello - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWTW
- Racing Madrid
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.03.26	Racing Madrid - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Parla - Racing Madrid	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Racing Madrid - Alcorcón B	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	México - Racing Madrid	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
16.11.25	Racing Madrid - Trival Valderas	0:3

Trival Valderas - Racing Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide