Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Racing Rioja		Sestao

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.2	1.36
	8.5	4.05	1.34
	7.84	3.87	1.37
	8.5	4.5	1.34
	7.6	4.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.94 ↑ (4.5)	4.16 ↑ (3.1)	1.36 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Rioja
11.4%

Draw
21.8%

Sestao
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

29.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

28.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Rioja's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Rioja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Racing Rioja - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Racing Rioja is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestao is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sestao is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Racing Rioja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Rioja won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Rioja
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.04.23	Real Sociedad C - Racing Rioja	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Racing Rioja - Beasain	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Racing Rioja - Arnedo	0:4 ✺
19.03.23	Brea - Racing Rioja	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Racing Rioja - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLW
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.04.23	Sestao - Arnedo	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Brea - Sestao	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Sestao - Cirbonero	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Sestao - San Juan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.12.22	Sestao - Racing Rioja	4:0
27.02.22	Sestao - Racing Rioja	2:0
10.10.21	Racing Rioja - Sestao	1:1

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