Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Mutilvera		Sestao

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.4	1.62
	4.59	3.19	1.78	Watch
	5.49	3.45	1.68
	5	3.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.59)	3.32 ↑ (3.19)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
18.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sestao
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

28.7%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

28%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Mutilvera - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Rojo J. ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, Rojo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Mutilvera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sestao has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sestao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mutilvera won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mutilvera won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.10.25	Mutilvera - Beasain	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Mutilvera - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Tudelano - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Sestao - Tudelano	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Alavés B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.03.23	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1
29.10.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	2:0
30.04.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	3:0
11.12.21	Mutilvera - Sestao	1:1

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