Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 22

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Racing Rioja B		Peña Balsamaiso

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.87
	3.9	2.9	1.82
	4.11	2.98	1.88
	4.05	3.42	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (2.94)	3.1 ↑ (3.02)	1.85 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Rioja B
22.6%

Draw
28.9%

Peña Balsamaiso
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.7%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Rioja B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Rioja B's form might have worsened.

Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peña Balsamaiso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja B than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Rioja B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Racing Rioja B - Peña Balsamaiso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Racing Rioja B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peña Balsamaiso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Rioja B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Peña Balsamaiso to win the game is with odds 2.25.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Racing Rioja B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Rioja B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
18.02.23	Casalarreina - Racing Rioja B	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Racing Rioja B - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Calahorra B - Racing Rioja B	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Racing Rioja B - Comillas	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Oyonesa - Racing Rioja B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.02.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Agoncillo - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Varea - Peña Balsamaiso	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Casalarreina	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Náxara - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.10.22	Peña Balsamaiso - Racing Rioja B	2:0

Racing Rioja B - Peña Balsamaiso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide