Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Peña Balsamaiso		Anguiano

	1	X	2
	7.1	4.45	1.34
	7.45	4.48	1.37
	7.31	2.64	1.77	Watch
	8	4	1.36
	7.75	4.79	1.37
	7	4.33	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.44 ↑ (5.8)	4.12 ↑ (4)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Balsamaiso
12.5%

Draw
22.6%

Anguiano
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

22.7%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

22.1%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Anguiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Peña Balsamaiso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

Peña Balsamaiso is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Anguiano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Anguiano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Anguiano is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Anguiano will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 3.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.12.25	Haro Deportivo - Peña Balsamaiso	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Villegas - Peña Balsamaiso	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Calahorra	0:7 ✺
02.11.25	Comillas - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Anguiano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
07.12.25	Anguiano - Autol	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Berceo - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Anguiano - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Anguiano - Pradejón	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Anguiano - Yagüe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
25.02.24	Anguiano - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0
08.10.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano	5:5
19.02.23	Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano	2:0
16.10.22	Anguiano - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0

Peña Balsamaiso - Anguiano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide