The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing Santander 53.7%
Draw 30.5%
Deportivo A Coruña 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.4%
28%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
28.6%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.
Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo A Coruña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo A Coruña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
41.7%
16.7%
Racing Santander - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. (C) 21. Ramon P. 16. Gonzalez F. 3. Garcia M. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 29. Jeremy Arevalo
1. Parreno G. (G) 15. Loureiro M. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 16. Gragera J. 11. Mella D. 19. Cruz Luismi 8. Villares D. (C) 21. Soriano M. 9. Eddahchouri Z. 10. Hernandez Y.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 13. Andreev P. (G) 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 4. Manu 6. Sainz-Maza I. 36. Sergio M. 12. Villalibre A.
3. Comas A. 18. Escudero S. 17. Herrera C. 20. Jurado J. 35. Lopez R. 7. Mulattieri S. 4. Noubi L. 6. Patino C. 13. Puerto E. (G) 22. Stoichkov
Coaches
Lopez J.
Hidalgo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Mantilla A. (Own goal),
19', Gueye M. 🟨,
44', Mantilla A. 🟨,
44', Loureiro M. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
46', Mantilla A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
56', Gragera J. ↓, Noubi L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽, Canales P. (A),
64', Quagliata G. ↓, Escudero S. ↑,
64', Barcia D. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
66', Ramon P. 🟨,
66', Soriano M. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
73', Gueye M. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
73', Jeremy Arevalo ↓, Villalibre A. ↑,
78', Vicente I. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
88', Garcia M. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
Recent form of Racing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Racing: Michelin C.
(Red Card)
Sangalli M.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D.
(Injury)
Navarro X.
(Muscle Injury)
Noubi L.
(International duty)
There are questionable in Deportivo: Quagliata G.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo A Coruña - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.