Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Dsports 9
Ecuador	DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2


	Racing Santander		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	3.9	6
	1.45	4.45	6.1
	1.5	4.15	7.04
	4.72	5.03	1.53	Watch
	1.48	4.5	6.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.51)	4.42 ↑ (4.14)	5.52 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
54.9%

Draw
25%

Leonesa
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing Santander's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing Santander, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Racing Santander - Leonesa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Leonesa (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 4. Manu 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 18. Canales P. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 7. Cabanzon Y. 10. Vicente I. (C) 12. Villalibre A.	13. Badia E. (G) 17. Calero I. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 21. Hinojo R. 14. Bicho 28. Ojeda T. 22. Pibe 23. Diallo Selu M. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.
Substitutes
8. Aldasoro A. 13. Andreev P. (G) 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez F. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 2. Mantilla A. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.	1. Banuz M. (G) 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 24. Garcia V. 8. Gonzalez Y. 33. Larios J. 2. Mboula J. 18. Paraschiv D. 26. Rafus A. (G) 15. Ribeiro T. 31. Toca N.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Llona R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Hinojo R. ⚽, Sobrino R. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Chacon L. ⚽, Pibe (A),
40', 0 - 3, Sobrino R. ⚽, Calero I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vicente I. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
46', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
46', Manu ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
55', Pibe 🟨,
56', Pibe ↓, Collado D. ↑,
58', 0 - 4, Collado D. ⚽, Chacon L. (A),
64', Ramon P. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Canales P. ⚽,
71', Collado D. 🟨,
72', Sobrino R. ↓, Mboula J. ↑,
72', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
72', Michelin C. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
80', Barzic M. ↓, Fornos Q. ↑,
80', Hinojo R. ↓, Larios J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 4, Martin A. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.

Racing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leonesa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Gueye M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Tresaco R. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Almería - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Racing Santander - Ceuta	4:1 ✺
25.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Racing Santander - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWWT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Club Friendly
10.09.25	Alcorcón - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
07.09.25	Leonesa - Leganés	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Sporting de Gijón - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Leonesa - Almería	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Burgos - Leonesa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.07.22	Racing Santander - Leonesa	1:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.03.22	Racing Santander - Leonesa	4:0
07.11.21	Leonesa - Racing Santander	3:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Leonesa - Racing Santander	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.03.17	Leonesa - Racing Santander	0:0
29.10.16	Racing Santander - Leonesa	1:1
20.03.16	Racing Santander - Leonesa	2:0

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