Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Rad		Radnik Surdulica

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.2	10
	1.44	4	5.2
	1.29	4.5	8
	1.31	5.42	9.78
	1.27	4.75	9.5
	1.3	5.45	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.87)	4.72 ↑ (3.48)	8.36 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rad
69.6%

Draw
19.4%

Radnik Surdulica
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

17.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rad's performance.

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnik Surdulica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rad than the current prediction. (-37.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+25.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnik Surdulica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	3.9%	17.6%

Rad - Radnik Surdulica Predictions

Users Predictions: Rad will win (40 of 51 users predict this - 78.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.14% – 89.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Rad is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radnik is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rad is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Rad won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Rad won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rad Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
14.03.21	Javor Ivanjica - Rad	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Rad - Partizan	0:5 ✺
03.03.21	Napredak Kruševac - Rad	0:2 ✺
27.02.21	Rad - Mladost Lučani	0:1 ✺
22.02.21	Voždovac - Rad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TLWLW
- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
15.03.21	Radnik Surdulica - Vojvodina	2:2 ✺
Serbian Cup
11.03.21	Bačka Topola - Radnik Surdulica	1:2 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
07.03.21	Inđija - Radnik Surdulica	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar	4:1 ✺
27.02.21	Radnik Surdulica - Javor Ivanjica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
26.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	4:2
01.03.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	1:0
21.09.19	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	0:1
20.04.19	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
05.12.18	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	1:0
11.08.18	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	3:1
21.04.18	Rad - Radnik Surdulica	2:1

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