Match Info

National League North - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Neuven Stadium (Radcliffe)


	Radcliffe		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.60	1.95
	3.20	3.40	1.93
	3.10	3.35	2.00
	3.47	3.88	1.96
	3.19	3.69	2.06	Watch
	3.40	3.70	1.94
	3.30	3.71	2.01
	3.25	3.55	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.82)	3.61 ↓ (3.7)	1.98 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
28.1%

Draw
25.4%

Morecambe
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

24.5%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radcliffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morecambe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Radcliffe - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Clegg R. ⚽,
62', 2 - 0, Pritchard J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Garner J. ⚽,

Preview

Radcliffe has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Morecambe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Radcliffe has had a series of away games.

Morecambe might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Morecambe: 6.07% Radcliffe: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Morecambe	10	4	2	4	14:9	5	14
24	Radcliffe	10	2	0	8	9:20	-11	6

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Morecambe - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
18.08.26	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Bury - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
21.07.26	Radcliffe - Barrow	0:0 ✺
11.07.26	Mossley AFC - Radcliffe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL
- Morecambe
English National League North
18.08.26	Morecambe - South Shields	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Harborough Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Morecambe - Barrow	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Morecambe - Fylde	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Bamber Bridge - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTW

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