Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 2h 📅 Remind Me


	Radcliffe		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.60	2.50
	2.32	3.60	2.52
	2.34	3.81	2.59	Watch
	2.31	3.62	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)	3.66 ↓ (3.81)	2.51 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
39.1%

Draw
24.8%

Merthyr Town
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Radcliffe - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 20th).

Radcliffe has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Merthyr is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Radcliffe has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Radcliffe against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Merthyr Town	14	3	6	5	15:19	-4	15
21	Radcliffe	14	5	0	9	16:24	-8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
27.10.26	Radcliffe - Chorley	0:3 ✺
24.10.26	Brackley Town - Radcliffe	0:1 ✺
17.10.26	Southport - Radcliffe	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Radcliffe - Scarborough Athletic	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Hednesford Town - Radcliffe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWWWL
- Merthyr Town
English National League North
27.10.26	Oxford City - Merthyr Town	3:0 ✺
24.10.26	Merthyr Town - Morecambe	1:3 ✺
17.10.26	Merthyr Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Darlington - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Merthyr Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.03.26	Radcliffe - Merthyr Town	1:3
20.09.25	Merthyr Town - Radcliffe	0:5

Radcliffe - Merthyr Town