Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: EFBET Stadion (Surdulica)


	Radnik Surdulica		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	10	5.5	1.25	Watch
	8.50	5.50	1.24
	8.6	5.35	1.24	Watch
	10.34	6.09	1.22
	9.82	5.75	1.27	Watch
	9.2	5.65	1.2
	13.2	6.93	1.2
	8.4	5.4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.76 ↑ (8.36)	5.77 ↑ (5.2)	1.23 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
9.4%

Draw
16%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

18%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

16.9%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Radojicic L. (G) 22. Lazic U. 37. Abubakar S. 6. Stojanovic D. 21. Filipovic U. 30. Novakovic M. 28. Pejovic A. 47. Quarshie E. 7. Stojanovic D. 55. Dzangarovski M. 9. Bogdanovic V. (C)	1. Matheus (G) 32. Luckassen D. 13. Veljkovic M. 3. Nakayama Y. 21. Elsnik T. 20. Handel T. 15. Abu Fani M. 75. Loizou L. 60. Gashtarov M. 8. Balov K. 10. Katai A. (C)
Substitutes
14. Ilic U. 88. Jovanovic D. 20. Jovanovic L. 25. Lakic T. 49. Markocevic D. 10. Ohori R. 5. Popovic M. 45. Rafael Pontelo 1. Samurovic F. (G) 2. Sonha T. 3. Zoric L.	6. Bajo M. 14. Bukari O. 70. Cham M. 9. Dieng B. 45. Gudelj S. 4. Ivanic M. 19. Kim Ye-geon 37. Lucic V. 50. Radanovic S. (G) 27. Strika M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F.
Coaches
Rendulic Z.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Stojanovic D. 🟨,
37', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Loizou L. ↓, Bukari O. ↑,
60', Pejovic A. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
60', Luckassen D. ↓, Kim Ye-geon ↑,
60', Balov K. ↓, Gudelj S. ↑,
61', Ohori R. 🟨,
61', Dzangarovski M. ↓, Ohori R. ↑,
69', Abu Fani M. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
71', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Zoric L. ↑,
79', Stojanovic D. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
79', Kim Ye-geon ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
80', Filipovic U. ↓, Ilic U. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0.

Recent performances by Radnik have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:56. (average 0.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:24. (average 0.6:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Radnik	10	3	5	2	14:15	-1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
05.09.26	Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Železničar Pančevo - Radnik Surdulica	5:1 ✺
23.08.26	Radnik Surdulica - Novi Pazar	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Radnik Surdulica - Mačva Šabac	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Vojvodina - Radnik Surdulica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWL
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
06.09.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Partizan	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Zemun - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	5:1 AET ✺
Serbian Superliga
23.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
17.05.26	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:0
05.04.26	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2
02.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnik Surdulica	1:1
07.04.24	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2
04.11.23	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnik Surdulica	3:1
13.11.22	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2
29.07.22	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnik Surdulica	6:0

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