Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Doosan Arena (Plzen)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Germany	Laola1
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Viktoria Plzeň		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.70	3.50	Watch
	2.05	3.75	3.30
	2.02	3.85	3.05	Watch
	2.08	4.03	3.22
	2.05	3.96	3.19	Watch
	1.99	4	3.2
	2.09	3.97	3.33
	2.06	3.7	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.41)	3.87 ↑ (3.51)	3.24 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria Plzeň
46.6%

Draw
24.4%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viktoria Plzeň's performance.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	10%	23.3%

Viktoria Plzeň - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wiegele F. (G) 98. Prebsl F. 40. Dweh S. 5. Spacil K. 99. Memic A. 19. Souare C. 17. Hrosovsky P. (C) 6. Cerv L. 14. Doski M. 9. Visinsky D. 80. Adu P.	1. Matheus (G) 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 32. Luckassen D. 13. Veljkovic M. 21. Elsnik T. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 33. Krunic R. 22. Kostov V. 14. Bukari O. 7. Arnautovic M. 70. Cham M.
Substitutes
66. Bohac S. 23. Faal B. 25. Kabongo C. 37. Krcik D. 18. Ladra T. 7. Lawal S. 20. Panos J. 36. Pirgic S. 12. Sojka A. 1. Tapaj D. (G) 10. Toure M. 11. Vydra M.	6. Bajo M. 9. Enem J. 60. Gashtarov M. 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 10. Katai A. 75. Loizou L. 37. Lucic V. 50. Radanovic S. (G) 5. Rodrigo 55. Saric D. 27. Strika M.
Coaches
Kovac R.	Riera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Adu P. ⚽, Souare C. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Ivanic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
51', Adu P. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Bukari O. 🟥,
58', 2 - 1, Visinsky D. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Ivanic M. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Hrosovsky P. ⚽, Cerv L. (A),
65', Arnautovic M. 🟨,
67', Arnautovic M. ↓, Enem J. ↑,
72', Elsnik T. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
72', Visinsky D. ↓, Kabongo C. ↑,
72', Adu P. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
72', Spacil K. ↓, Vydra M. ↑,
79', Souare C. ↓, Sojka A. ↑,
86', Cerv L. ↓, Faal B. ↑,
90+2', Enem J. 🟨,
90+4', Rodrigo 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Kabongo C. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Prebsl F. ↓, Krcik D. ↑,
95', Cham M. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
96', 5 - 1, Krcik D. ⚽, Kabongo C. (A),
102', Ladra T. 🟨,
103', Luckassen D. 🟨,
105+2', Krunic R. 🟨,
105+3', Kostov V. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.

Plzeň is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Plzeň won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Plzen: 0.66%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria Plzeň
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
15.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Teplice - Viktoria Plzeň	5:5 ✺
01.08.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Zbrojovka Brno	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Slovan Liberec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWTTL
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
23.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Čukarički	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
08.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.08.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Viktoria Plzeň	3:0

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