Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: EFBET Stadion (Surdulica)

Referee: Markovic M. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 2


	Radnik Surdulica		Radnički 1923

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.3	2.05
	2.78	3.3	2.32
	2.97	3.45	2.24
	1.07	11.08	20.97	Watch
	2.81	3.27	2.45	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.5)	4.61 ↑ (3.25)	5.38 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
48.3%

Draw
27.8%

Radnički 1923
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.1%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnik Surdulica's performance.

Radnički 1923 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Radnički 1923 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnik Surdulica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Radnički 1923 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Radnički 1923 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Randjelovic S. (G) 66. Gasic M. (C) 37. Abubakar S. 18. Tremoulet S. 6. Stojanovic D. 7. Owusu D. 5. Popovic M. 24. Stevanovic M. 88. Jovanovic D. 4. Hajdarevic H. 9. Bogdanovic V.	81. Lijeskic L. (G) 8. Cosic M. 14. Simovic S. 15. Mitrovic M. (C) 50. Dadic T. 21. Ilic J. 17. Balde A. 32. Bukumira N. 80. Stankovski L. 10. Bevis K. 19. Sokler E.
Substitutes
77. Chinedu S. 15. Empis P. 22. Filimonovic U. 26. Ilic S. (G) 25. Lakic T. 49. Markocevic D. 30. Novakovic M. 28. Pejovic A. 8. Puzovic L. 47. Quarshie E. 80. Raskovic S.	23. Adzic B. 99. Ben Hassine L. 11. Gomes A. 66. Jarju Y. 5. Marjanovic N. 4. Milicic N. 25. Mitrovic D. 33. Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. 88. Stojkovic V. (G) 22. Yusuf I.
Coaches
Jaksic M.	Lukovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Bukumira N. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Bogdanovic V. ⚽, Gasic M. (A),
28', Dadic T. ↓, Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. ↑,
29', Cosic M. ↓, Adzic B. ↑,
31', Sokler E. 🟨,
33', 2 - 0, Owusu D. ⚽,
42', Adzic B. 🟨,
45+4', Abubakar S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Stankovski L. ↓, Ben Hassine L. ↑,
54', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Pejovic A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Sokler E. ⚽, Mitrovic M. (A),
64', 2 - 2, Adzic B. ⚽, Balde A. (A),
65', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
80', Jovanovic D. ↓, Empis P. ↑,
80', Ilic J. 🟨,
83', Ilic J. ↓, Jarju Y. ↑,
86', Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. 🟨,
88', Bevis K. 🟨,
90+4', Mitrovic M. 🟨,
90+5', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Simovic S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 0.

Recent form of Radnik has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Radnički 1923 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Radnički 1923 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Radnik won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
30.08.25	Partizan - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Radnik Surdulica - Železničar Pančevo	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Mladost Lučani - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Radnički 1923
Serbian Superliga
31.08.25	Radnički 1923 - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	IMT Novi Beograd - Radnički 1923	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Radnički 1923 - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
11.08.25	Javor Ivanjica - Radnički 1923	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Partizan - Radnički 1923	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
08.03.24	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	0:1
20.12.23	Radnički 1923 - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
05.11.22	Radnički 1923 - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
23.07.22	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	0:0
15.04.22	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	1:1
06.12.21	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	0:0
Serbian Cup
13.10.21	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički 1923	2:0

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