Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Čika Dača (Kragujevac)

Referee: Nikolic D. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Radnički 1923		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.55	3.95	4.95
	1.59	3.9	5.4
	1.35	3.86	13.97	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5
	1.57	4	5.12	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.8)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	6.28 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnički 1923
60.5%

Draw
24.5%

Napredak Kruševac
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.8%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnički 1923 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radnički 1923's performance.

Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napredak Kruševac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički 1923 than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnički 1923 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Radnički 1923 - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Radnički 1923 will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Napredak will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički 1923: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Radnički 1923 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Lijeskic L. (G) 8. Cosic M. 14. Simovic S. 15. Mitrovic M. (C) 33. Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. 27. Ristic M. 17. Balde A. 44. Mircetic B. 99. Ben Hassine L. 10. Bevis K. 90. Vidakov M.	84. Balevic L. (G) 77. Drobnjak L. 24. Ignjatovic U. 5. Bukorac S. 7. Vukajlovic N. 22. Toseski M. 10. Vulic M. 31. Subert I. 95. Miletic V. 11. Majdevac A. 33. Bogdanovski N.
Substitutes
23. Adzic B. 50. Dadic T. 7. Gluscevic M. 21. Ilic J. 5. Marjanovic N. 25. Mitrovic D. 51. Skrobonja N. 80. Stankovski L. 88. Stojkovic V. (G)	9. Bubanj M. 27. Cubra D. 18. Gajic M. 44. Hajdin S. 4. Krstic F. 14. Laban L. 15. Lutovac A. 20. Marinkovic N. 88. Saric M. 1. Savic V. (G) 16. Skocajic D.
Coaches
Lukovic A.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Toseski M. 🟨,
42', Subert I. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vulic M. ↓, Krstic F. ↑,
54', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Lutovac A. ↑,
64', Bevis K. ↓, Skrobonja N. ↑,
64', Ben Hassine L. ↓, Stankovski L. ↑,
65', Vukajlovic N. ↓, Marinkovic N. ↑,
75', Ignjatovic U. 🟨,
77', Petkoski Cimbaljevic S. ↓, Gluscevic M. ↑,
81', Majdevac A. ↓, Hajdin S. ↑,
85', Krstic F. 🟨,
88', Balevic L. 🟨,
90+2', Stankovski L. ↓, Marjanovic N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnički 1923 won 4.

Radnički 1923 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Napredak's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Radnički 1923 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Radnički 1923 won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Radnički 1923 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnički 1923
Serbian Superliga
11.08.25	Javor Ivanjica - Radnički 1923	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Partizan - Radnički 1923	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	KÍ Klaksvík - Radnički 1923	1:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
27.07.25	Radnički 1923 - Železničar Pančevo	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Radnički 1923 - KÍ Klaksvík	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
10.08.25	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	2:7 ✺
04.08.25	Železničar Pančevo - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Napredak Kruševac - Novi Pazar	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Čukarički - Napredak Kruševac	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.25	Slaven Belupo - Napredak Kruševac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.25	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički 1923	0:1
Serbian Superliga
29.03.25	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički 1923	1:0
03.11.24	Radnički 1923 - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
28.04.24	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički 1923	1:4
30.03.24	Radnički 1923 - Napredak Kruševac	3:1
20.10.23	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički 1923	1:3
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Napredak Kruševac - Radnički 1923	1:2

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