Match Info

Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 12

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: EFBET Stadion (Surdulica) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Kosovo	17:00	Arena Premium 1
North Macedonia	17:00	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	17:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10


	Radnik Surdulica		Radnički Niš

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.30	3.30	Watch
	2.15	3.10	3.00
	2.10	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.18	3.40	3.31
	2.2	3.41	3.17	Watch
	2.15	3.35	3.00
	2.10	3.38	3.38	Watch
	2.17	3.20	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)	3.27 ↑ (3.05)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
42.9%

Draw
28%

Radnički Niš
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.9%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

27.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Radnički Niš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - FK Radnik Surdulica (2.15) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Randjelovic S. (G) 22. Lazic U. 6. Stojanovic D. 37. Abubakar S. 2. Sonha T. 5. Popovic M. (C) 28. Pejovic A. 47. Quarshie E. 30. Novakovic M. 88. Jovanovic D. 9. Bogdanovic V.	12. Kostic I. (G) 71. Petrovic D. 5. Zecevic N. 3. Jokic R. 18. Velickovic S. 7. Abass I. 89. Izderic L. 6. Kanoute F. 22. Milosavljevic R. (C) 28. Ariyibi G. 9. Shestyuk A.
Substitutes
34. Blagojevic N. 14. Ilic U. 20. Jovanovic L. 92. Kosiah A. 25. Lakic T. 49. Markocevic D. 23. Radojicic L. (G) 29. Shukurov O. 7. Stojanovic D. 3. Zoric L. 18. Zunic F.	17. Borovic L. 11. Ivanovic I. 42. Jovanovic D. 15. Krajisnik D. 2. Mijailovic M. 23. Mustapha I. 70. Nikolic S. 19. Osei K. 14. Rosevic M. 94. Stanivukovic D. (G) 20. Vidovic A.
Coaches
Rendulic Z.	Drincic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Kanoute F. 🟨,
15', Kanoute F. 🟨,
24', Novakovic M. 🟨,
31', Petrovic D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Bogdanovic V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Shestyuk A. ↓, Osei K. ↑,
46', Petrovic D. ↓, Mijailovic M. ↑,
46', Ariyibi G. ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Pejovic A. ⚽, Lazic U. (A),
59', Quarshie E. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
63', Pejovic A. ↓, Shukurov O. ↑,
67', Stojanovic D. 🟨,
75', Milosavljevic R. ↓, Krajisnik D. ↑,
78', Abass I. 🟨,
82', Bogdanovic V. ↓, Zoric L. ↑,
82', Sonha T. ↓, Zunic F. ↑,
84', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
87', Izderic L. ↓, Nikolic S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Novakovic M. ⚽, Jovanovic L. (A),

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 13th in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radnik won 1.

In recent outings, Radnik has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Radnički Niš is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Radnik holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Radnik has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Radnik against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Radnik	13	4	5	4	17:17	0	17
13	Radnicki Nis	12	2	2	8	7:20	-13	8

Outrights of Serbian Superliga for now

Radnicki Nis: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Radnički Niš - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
10.10.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Radnik Surdulica - Partizan	4:4 ✺
14.09.26	Zemun - Radnik Surdulica	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Radnik Surdulica - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Radnik Surdulica - Čukarički	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LTTTW
- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
11.10.26	Radnički Niš - Vojvodina	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički Niš	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Radnički Niš - OFK Beograd	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mladost Lučani - Radnički Niš	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Radnički Niš - Radnički 1923	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
08.03.26	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš	2:2
03.10.25	Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica	4:2
21.04.24	Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
03.03.24	Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica	0:3
22.09.23	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš	0:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Radnički Niš - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
Serbian Superliga
27.04.23	Radnik Surdulica - Radnički Niš	1:0

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