Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Radnički Niš		Metalac

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	1.95	3.35	3.1
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.11	3.3	3.49
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.05	3.4	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.82)	3.23 ↓ (3.37)	3.25 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnički Niš
43.8%

Draw
28.1%

Metalac
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

18.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnički Niš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radnički Niš's form might have worsened.

Metalac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metalac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radnički Niš that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalac than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	27.8%	11.1%

Radnički Niš - Metalac Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Radnički Niš will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Metalac will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radnički Niš: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group)).

Radnički Niš is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Metalac is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radnički Niš will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Radnički Niš won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Radnički Niš won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnički Niš
Serbian Superliga
25.09.21	Kolubara - Radnički Niš	2:3 ✺
17.09.21	Novi Pazar - Radnički Niš	2:1 ✺
12.09.21	Radnički Niš - Voždovac	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	Partizan - Radnički Niš	4:0 ✺
23.08.21	Radnički Niš - Proleter Novi Sad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Metalac Gornji Milanovac
Serbian Superliga
26.09.21	Metalac - Radnički 1923	4:1 ✺
17.09.21	Metalac - Kolubara	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Vojvodina - Metalac	2:2 ✺
28.08.21	Novi Pazar - Metalac	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Metalac - Voždovac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
06.02.21	Metalac - Radnički Niš	1:1
01.08.20	Radnički Niš - Metalac	3:0
14.12.16	Radnički Niš - Metalac	1:1
21.08.16	Metalac - Radnički Niš	1:2
27.11.15	Radnički Niš - Metalac	2:1
08.08.15	Metalac - Radnički Niš	0:2

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