Match Info

AFRICA: CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Mohamed V (Casablanca)

Referee: Ibrahim M. (Lby)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports Max
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Raja Casablanca		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.32	2.96	3.31
	2.2	3	3.1	Watch
	2.26	3.14	3.18	Watch
	2.28	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.44)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	3.11 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raja Casablanca
40.6%

Draw
30.1%

Al Ahly Cairo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raja Casablanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Raja Casablanca - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Recent matches Raja Casablanca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Al Ahly Cairo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Raja Casablanca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Raja Casablanca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raja Casablanca
CAF Champions League
22.04.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Raja Casablanca	2:0 ✺
Moroccan Botola
15.04.23	Raja Casablanca - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:0 ✺
Moroccan Coupe du Trone
12.04.23	Hassania Agadir - Raja Casablanca	0:1 penalties ✺
Moroccan Botola
08.04.23	FUS Rabat - Raja Casablanca	3:0 ✺
05.04.23	Raja Casablanca - Wydad Casablanca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWLT
- Al Ahly Cairo
CAF Champions League
22.04.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Raja Casablanca	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
17.04.23	Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo	0:2 ✺
14.04.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco	3:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
10.04.23	Pyramids - Al Ahly Cairo	1:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
05.04.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Ghazl El Mahalla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
22.04.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Raja Casablanca	2:0
22.04.22	Raja Casablanca - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1
16.04.22	Al Ahly Cairo - Raja Casablanca	2:1
CAF Super Cup
22.12.21	Al Ahly Cairo - Raja Casablanca	2:1 penalties

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