The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smouha 15.5%
Draw 27.2%
Al Ahly Cairo 57.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
27.2%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
26.8%
55.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
5.9%
70.6%
Smouha - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 48.9% โ 92.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Ahly Cairo will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 2. Hafez H. 21. Mostafa M. (C) 4. Gomaa M. 12. Afifi Y. 7. Naguib A. 23. Amadi S. 10. El Ghandour K. 15. Samadou A. 8. Fekri S. 33. Yehia A.
31. Shobeir O. (G) 30. Hany M. (C) 4. Ramadan A. 2. Marei Y. 20. Belammari Y. 17. Bencharki A. 23. Dieng A. 13. Attia M. 22. Ashour E. 27. Otaka M. 5. Ben Romdhane M.
Substitutes
9. Ashraf H. 20. Badji P. 19. Fathi E. 35. Fawzi A. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 66. Mohamed K. 24. Ragab M. 1. Soliman E. (G)
24. Eid A. 14. El Shahat H. 1. El Shenawy M. (G) 28. Fouad K. 9. Ieltsin Camoes 36. Kouka A. 29. Mohamed T. 21. Reyad H. 10. Sherif M.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.
Thorup J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Marei Y. ↓, Reyad H. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Otaka M. ⚽,
38', El Ghandour K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Ben Romdhane M. 🟨,
66', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Mohamed T. ↑,
66', Samadou A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
66', Afifi Y. ↓, Ragab M. ↑,
67', Badji P. 🟨,
73', Ramadan A. 🟨,
76', Fekri S. ↓, Ashraf H. ↑,
82', Gomaa M. ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
83', Attia M. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
84', Bencharki A. ↓, Kouka A. ↑,
84', Otaka M. ↓, Ieltsin Camoes ↑,
89', Amadi S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 0.
Recent performances by Smouha have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Al Ahly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al Ahly is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
Egypt
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Mayhoub A. (G) 
Amadi S. 
Samadou A. 
Belammari Y. 
Dieng A. 
Ben Romdhane M. 
Badji P. 
Mohamed K. 
Ieltsin Camoes 
Thorup J. 
