Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 23

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade honneur de Beni Mellal (Beni Mellal)


	Raja de Beni Mellal		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.52	3.5
	2.8	2.44	2.91
	2.92	2.35	3.08	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.4
	2.32	2.5	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.32)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	3.28 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raja de Beni Mellal
35.7%

Draw
36.8%

Moghreb Tétouan
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

39.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

40.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raja de Beni Mellal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Moghreb Tétouan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moghreb Tétouan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raja de Beni Mellal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moghreb Tétouan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raja de Beni Mellal - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Botola Pro).

Raja de Beni Mellal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moghreb Tétouan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Raja de Beni Mellal could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raja de Beni Mellal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Raja de Beni Mellal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raja de Beni Mellal
Moroccan Botola 2
25.04.26	Widad Fez - Raja de Beni Mellal	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Raja de Beni Mellal - Racing de Casablanca	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Stade Marocain - Raja de Beni Mellal	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Raja de Beni Mellal - Chabab Benguérir	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	USM Oujda - Raja de Beni Mellal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLTL
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola 2
26.04.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Chabab Atlas Khénifra	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Chabab Mohammedia - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mouloudia Club dOujda - Moghreb Tétouan	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Moghreb Tétouan - Widad Témara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
01.04.22	Moghreb Tétouan - Raja de Beni Mellal	2:1
Moroccan Botola
25.02.20	Moghreb Tétouan - Raja de Beni Mellal	0:0
22.09.19	Raja de Beni Mellal - Moghreb Tétouan	0:2
13.03.13	Raja de Beni Mellal - Moghreb Tétouan	N/A
21.10.12	Moghreb Tétouan - Raja de Beni Mellal	4:2

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