Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday


	Rana		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	1.16	7.05	9.58
	1.14	7.7	11.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.44)	7.38 ↑ (4.9)	10.49 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rana
79%

Draw
12.3%

Lillestrøm 2
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

18.4%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rana's performance.

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rana than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rana - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Rade K.A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Froysa B. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Froysa B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 4 - 0, Olsen T. ⚽,
69', Sevald Andreassen 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 5).

Rana is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lillestrøm 2 in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rana to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rana FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
17.08.24	Nardo - Rana	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	Rana - Orkla FK	5:0 ✺
03.08.24	Mosjøen - Rana	0:5 ✺
28.07.24	Rana - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
22.07.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Rana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWL
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
19.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Mosjøen	6:0 ✺
10.08.24	Verdal - Lillestrøm 2	0:4 ✺
03.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Melhus	5:2 ✺
27.07.24	Byåsen - Lillestrøm 2	1:3 ✺
22.07.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Rana	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.07.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Rana	3:2

Rana - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide