Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday


	Verdal		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.88	2.52
				Watch
	1.71	4.45	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.55)	4.17 ↓ (4.2)	3.01 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verdal
47.6%

Draw
22%

Lillestrøm 2
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

21.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

21.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verdal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Verdal's performance.

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verdal than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Verdal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Verdal - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Andersson P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 0 - 2, Neto L. ⚽,
86', 0 - 3, Woxen H. ⚽,
90', 0 - 4, Svenningsen L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 7).

Recent matches Verdal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lillestrøm 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Verdal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Verdal IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
03.08.24	Surnadal IL - Verdal	5:4 ✺
27.07.24	Verdal - Strømsgodset 2	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Mosjøen - Verdal	0:2 ✺
22.06.24	Verdal - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
16.06.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Verdal	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWTL
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
03.08.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Melhus	5:2 ✺
27.07.24	Byåsen - Lillestrøm 2	1:3 ✺
22.07.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Rana	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Trygg Lade - Lillestrøm 2	5:0 ✺
16.06.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Verdal	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
16.06.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Verdal	7:1

Verdal - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide