Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday


	Rana		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.42	3.94
	1.59	4.75	4.01
	1.61	4.65	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.05)	4.61 ↑ (4.08)	3.93 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rana
57.2%

Draw
19.7%

Stabæk 2
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

22.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rana's performance.

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rana than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rana - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Cedergren A. ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, Rade K.A. (Pen),
78', 2 - 1, Beyene S. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 1, Johnsen N. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rana FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.07.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Rana	3:2 ✺
22.06.24	Rana - Surnadal IL	0:2 ✺
16.06.24	Orkla FK - Rana	0:3 ✺
09.06.24	Trygg Lade - Rana	4:1 ✺
01.06.24	Rana - Melhus	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.07.24	Stabæk 2 - Byåsen	1:1 ✺
24.06.24	Tiller - Stabæk 2	2:2 ✺
17.06.24	Stabæk 2 - Mosjøen	8:0 ✺
10.06.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Stabæk 2 - Verdal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
05.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Rana	4:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
27.09.21	Rana - Stabæk 2	1:2

Rana - Stabæk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide