Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday


	Tiller		Stabæk 2

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.09	2.74
	1.96	4.09	2.74
	1.91	4.33	2.88
	1.93	4.65	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (3.31)	4.29 ↑ (4)	2.78 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiller
46.5%

Draw
21%

Stabæk 2
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

22.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

21.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiller's performance.

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Tiller - Stabæk 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tiller will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiller: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Morkved K. F. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Forren E. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Tobiassen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 2 - 2, Tobiassen B. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 6).

Tiller is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stabæk 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stabæk 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
15.06.24	Tiller - Rosenborg II	2:2 ✺
08.06.24	Melhus - Tiller	3:0 ✺
03.06.24	Tiller - Strømsgodset 2	6:2 ✺
25.05.24	Byåsen - Tiller	1:0 ✺
20.05.24	Tiller - Trygg Lade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL
- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
17.06.24	Stabæk 2 - Mosjøen	8:0 ✺
10.06.24	Strømsgodset 2 - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Stabæk 2 - Verdal	3:3 ✺
28.05.24	Trygg Lade - Stabæk 2	4:3 ✺
21.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTLL

Tiller - Stabæk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide