Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Rapitenca		Pobla de Mafumet

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.6
	2.16	2.61	3.76
	1.93	3.02	4.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.68)	2.83 ↓ (2.97)	3.81 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapitenca
44.2%

Draw
32%

Pobla de Mafumet
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

31.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapitenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapitenca's performance.

Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobla de Mafumet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapitenca than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapitenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pobla de Mafumet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rapitenca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rapitenca will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rapitenca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rapitenca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Rapitenca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
10.02.24	Peralada - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Rapitenca - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Vilafranca - Rapitenca	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	LEscala - Rapitenca	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Rapitenca - Girona B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- CF Pobla de Mafumet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Prat	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Olot - Pobla de Mafumet	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Mollerussa	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Pobla de Mafumet - LHospitalet	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
01.10.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Rapitenca	2:1
09.04.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Rapitenca	2:2
04.12.22	Rapitenca - Pobla de Mafumet	0:2

Rapitenca - Pobla de Mafumet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide