Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castelldefels		Pobla de Mafumet

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.55
	2.65	3	2.6
	2.76	2.89	2.63
	2.76	2.72	2.63
	2.7	2.95	2.55
	2.65	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.17)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.59 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
33.8%

Draw
31.2%

Pobla de Mafumet
35%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.5%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castelldefels's performance.

Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pobla de Mafumet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 3.

Castelldefels has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pobla de Mafumet is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pobla de Mafumet will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Peralada - Castelldefels	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Vilafranca - Castelldefels	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Castelldefels - LEscala	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Girona B - Castelldefels	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CF Pobla de Mafumet
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
07.01.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Badalona	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	San Cristóbal - Pobla de Mafumet	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Grama	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Vilassar de Mar	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Peralada - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.03.23	Pobla de Mafumet - Castelldefels	1:1
20.11.22	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	3:2
20.02.22	Pobla de Mafumet - Castelldefels	3:1
17.10.21	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0
21.03.21	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0
20.12.20	Pobla de Mafumet - Castelldefels	1:1
26.01.20	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	0:0

Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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