Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Grünfeld (Rapperswil-Jona)


	Rapperswil-Jona		Luzern II

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	4.8
	1.45	4.75	5
	1.49	4.85	5.09
	1.52	4.76	5.1
	1.44	4.7	5.2
	1.45	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)	4.72 ↓ (4.73)	5.03 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapperswil-Jona
62.4%

Draw
19.4%

Luzern II
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

19.5%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

18.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Luzern II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Rapperswil Jona - Luzern II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Omerovic A. (G) 2. Dixon F. 28. Ambassa J. 5. Ajeti Ad. 3. Morgado B. 7. Tia E. 19. Nguy-yi N. 6. Yesilcayir E. (C) 8. Saliji R. 10. Ribeiro A. 11. Wiskemann M.	1. Bock J. (G) 3. Freimann B. H. 5. Haag S. 4. Urtic M. 2. Britschgi S. 6. Walker M. (C) 8. Zimmermann M. 11. Bieri M. 10. Dantas Fernandes R. 7. Breedijk L. 9. Vasovic A.
Substitutes
17. Duong L. 1. Grob M. (G) 9. Hadzi M. 21. Iapichino D. 25. Kaba B. 22. Lymann F.	17. Bachmann T. 18. Joao Pedro (G) 15. Komatovic D. 16. Meyer S. 14. Vogel E. 20. Wicht N. G. E. 12. Xhemaili B.
Coaches
Sesa D.	Renggli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Freimann B. H. ⚽,
18', Ambassa J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Dantas Fernandes R. ⚽,
31', 0 - 3, Vasovic A. ⚽,
34', 1 - 3, Nguy-yi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 3, Tia E. ⚽,
54', 3 - 3, Nguy-yi N. ⚽,
60', Urtic M. ↓, Henchoz S. ↑,
64', Ambassa J. ↓, Duong L. ↑,
77', Walker M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Rapperswil is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rapperswil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rapperswil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Promotion League
23.10.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Kriens	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Zurich II - Rapperswil-Jona	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Breitenrain Bern	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Lugano II	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Baden - Rapperswil-Jona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLW
- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
23.10.24	Luzern II - Zurich II	4:2 ✺
20.10.24	Biel-Bienne - Luzern II	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Breitenrain Bern - Luzern II	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Lugano II - Luzern II	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Luzern II - Young Boys II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
23.03.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Luzern II	2:3
20.09.23	Luzern II - Rapperswil-Jona	1:0
29.04.23	Rapperswil-Jona - Luzern II	4:3

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