Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Grünfeld (Rapperswil-Jona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Rapperswil-Jona		St. Gallen

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.53
	4.05	3.9	1.72
	5.13	4.46	1.54
	4.7	4.29	1.62	Watch
	4.5	4	1.57
	5.08	4.57	1.6	Watch
	5	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (2.37)	4.29 ↑ (3.6)	1.59 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapperswil-Jona
19.5%

Draw
21.7%

St. Gallen
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rapperswil-Jona's form might have worsened.

St. Gallen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Gallen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Gallen than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Gallen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rapperswil Jona - St. Gallen Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. St. Gallen will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Gallen: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St. Gallen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Seji L. (G) 28. Ambassa J. 4. Dabanli B. 13. Padula Lenna G. 3. Morgado B. 31. Emini L. 26. Charveys A. 8. Saliji R. (C) 70. Schmidt J. 9. Kamberi F. 77. De Carvalho F.	25. Watkowiak L. (G) 20. Vallci A. 4. Stanic J. 36. Okoroji C. 6. Neziri B. 28. Vandermersch H. 11. Boukhalfa C. 10. Daschner L. (C) 77. Ouattara T. 18. Vogt A. 14. Balde A.
Substitutes
5. Ajeti Ad. 19. Boum N. 80. Canoski H. 66. Marchand Y. 6. Ndema L. 30. Rakic N. (G) 47. Rans J. 96. So S. 27. Volkart D.	5. Ambrosius S. 1. Ati Zigi L. (G) 21. Efekele M. 8. Quintilla J. 74. Ruiz J. 64. Stevanovic M. 19. Vladi S. 66. Weibel N. 7. Witzig C.
Coaches
Sasivari S.	Maassen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Neziri B. 🟨,
40', De Carvalho F. 🟨,
44', Okoroji C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Vogt A. ↓, Stevanovic M. ↑,
61', Vandermersch H. ↓, Witzig C. ↑,
62', Daschner L. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
71', Balde A. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
72', Stanic J. 🟨,
80', Schmidt J. ↓, Volkart D. ↑,
80', Saliji R. ↓, Boum N. ↑,
90', De Carvalho F. ↓, So S. ↑,
90', Ambassa J. ↓, Ndema L. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
96', Ouattara T. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
98', 🟨,
100', 0 - 1, Boukhalfa C. (Penalty Awarded),
101', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
104', 1 - 1, Vallci A. (Own goal),
105', 🟨,
106', Okoroji C. ↓, Quintilla J. ↑,
106', Charveys A. ↓, Marchand Y. ↑,
120+1', Morgado B. ↓, Ajeti Ad. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Kamberi F. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Neziri B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marchand Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vallci A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dabanli B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Quintilla J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, Boukhalfa C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Rapperswil has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

St. Gallen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

St. Gallen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, St. Gallen is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Rapperswil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Last Results with these Odds

St. Gallen - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League
28.11.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Wil 1900	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL
- FC St. Gallen
Swiss Super League
30.11.25	Basel - St. Gallen	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Lugano - St. Gallen	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	St. Gallen - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Austria Lustenau - St. Gallen	0:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.11.25	St. Gallen - Young Boys	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.07.24	Rapperswil-Jona - St. Gallen	3:1
26.06.21	St. Gallen - Rapperswil-Jona	5:0

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