Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Ratchaburi		Chonburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.55	4.23	4.88	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.8
	1.55	3.88	5.02	Watch
	1.54	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	3.97 ↓ (4.01)	4.88 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchaburi
58.7%

Draw
22.7%

Chonburi
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

22.9%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Chonburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ratchaburi - Chonburi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ratchaburi (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 27. Curran J. 5. Ting D. 2. Mutombo G. 3. Sidcley 8. Suengchitthawon T. 28. Limwannasthian T. 6. Tana 10. Kaewprom J. 11. Negueba 7. Deni Junior	1. Mendoza K. (G) 23. Channgom S. 37. Sayriya N. (C) 47. Jorge Fellipe 14. Tabinas J. 32. Moraksa R. 8. Burapha Y. 99. van Lingen O. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 30. Biesamrit N. 88. Queven
Substitutes
77. Bolkiah F. 29. Chiamudom K. 23. Deeromram K. 9. Gleyson 16. Jakkuprasat S. 19. Peenagatapho S. 88. Poomkeaw C. 15. Promrak A. 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 37. Srisuwan K. 24. Wonggorn J. 97. Wongmeema U. (G)	20. Bunta S. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 2. Kike Linares 74. Nairatsami W. 75. Pinkaew T. 4. Sansanit K. 31. Seaisakul P.
Coaches
Srimaka W.	Viwatchaichok R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Queven ↓, Sansanit K. ↑,
26', Pathomakkakul K. ↓, Wongmeema U. ↑,
45+4', Kaewprom J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tana ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
46', Negueba ↓, Gleyson ↑,
51', Mutombo G. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Wonggorn J. ⚽, Deni Junior (A),
59', Moraksa R. 🟨,
65', Burapha Y. 🟨,
66', Suengchitthawon T. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
76', Mutombo G. ↓, Promrak A. ↑,
82', Tapsuvanavon C. ↓, Bunta S. ↑,
82', Channgom S. ↓, Kike Linares ↑,
87', Moraksa R. ↓, Seaisakul P. ↑,
90+2', Bunta S. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Chonburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Ratchaburi is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ratchaburi won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ratchaburi	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4
16	Chonburi	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League Cup
28.12.25	Pattani - Ratchaburi	2:0 ✺
Thai League 1
24.12.25	Ratchaburi - Chiangrai United	1:2 ✺
Thai FA Cup
20.12.25	Phitsanulok - Ratchaburi	1:2 ✺
Thai League 1
16.12.25	Rayong FC - Ratchaburi	2:4 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Chonburi FC
Thai League Cup
27.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Chonburi	1:5 ✺
Thai League 1
12.12.25	Chonburi - Kanchanaburi	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Muangthong United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rayong FC - Chonburi	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sukhothai - Chonburi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
23.08.25	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	0:1
07.04.24	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	0:1
05.11.23	Ratchaburi - Chonburi	1:2
19.03.23	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	1:2
23.10.22	Ratchaburi - Chonburi	1:1
30.04.22	Ratchaburi - Chonburi	2:2
28.11.21	Chonburi - Ratchaburi	3:0

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