Match Info

THAILAND: THAI LEAGUE 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi)


	Ratchaburi		Trat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.47	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.57	6.09
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4.25	6	Watch
	1.48	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.8)	4.17 ↑ (3.46)	5.7 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchaburi
62.1%

Draw
21.9%

Trat
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.

Trat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ratchaburi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trat than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ratchaburi - Trat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 15. Promrak A. 29. Chiamudom K. 3. Nonthasila S. 4. Khemdee J. 10. Kaewprom J. 6. Terki M. 40. Rakotoharimalala N. 37. Srisuwan K. 9. Kannoo S. 13. Sio G.	25. Srinothai S. (G) 46. Jorge Felipe 36. Sujarit T. 2. Auksornsri T. 3. Phattanapol P. 24. Ratniyorm S. 7. Jarunai P. 9. Sombatyotha N. 8. Islame Y. 10. Cohen L. 99. Paulista E.
Substitutes
77. Bolkiah F. 27. Curran J. 16. Jakkuprasat S. 71. Kesornsumon S. 39. Maunchaingam C. (G) 8. Poomkeaw C. 7. Tasa K. 24. Wettayawong K. 17. Win H. P.	14. Budrak M. 39. Janchaichit R. 21. Kantanet P. 16. Klinkosoom A. 88. Poomsongtham P. 4. Raksongkham C. 1. Sukhuna W. (G) 11. Thongkot S. 27. Wanchuen R.
Coaches
Pena C.	Chaiyaphuak S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Ratchaburi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Trat is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trat could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ratchaburi is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ratchaburi won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ratchaburi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
24.09.23	Uthai Thani - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Ratchaburi - Police Tero	6:1 ✺
27.08.23	Khonkaen United - Ratchaburi	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Ratchaburi - Nakhon Pathom United	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Prachuap - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL
- Trat FC
Thai League 1
22.09.23	Trat - Thai Port	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Buriram United - Trat	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Trat - Chiangrai United	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Sukhothai - Trat	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Trat - Chonburi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
28.03.21	Trat - Ratchaburi	2:2
16.02.20	Ratchaburi - Trat	2:0
30.06.19	Trat - Ratchaburi	0:1
22.02.19	Ratchaburi - Trat	3:2

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