Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Medic A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Strømsgodset

	1	X	2
	7.5	6.5	1.27
	7.00	6.00	1.28
	7.6	6.2	1.26
	8.43	6.54	1.3
	7.89	6.43	1.28	Watch
	8.25	6.4	1.24
	8.2	6.1	1.26	Watch
	7.2	6	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.76 ↑ (6.41)	6.27 ↑ (5.29)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
12%

Draw
14.8%

Strømsgodset
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

17.6%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

17%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strømsgodset's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Raufoss - Strømsgodset Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Sarr A. (G) 3. Asvestad E. (C) 15. Gartig E. 16. Larsen M. 6. Froysa E. 10. Aanesland M. 27. Zekhnini R. 11. Fremstad N. 8. Holter H. 7. Sildnes E. 19. Karlsen H.	12. Lampinen-Skaug S. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 3. Dedes V. 9. Melkersen E. 10. Stengel H. 8. Krasniqi K. 16. Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. 11. Pingel S. 23. Ingebrethsen E.
Substitutes
14. Agyeman Y. 77. Camara M. 22. Coulibaly S. 30. Dalen Korsaksel J. 31. Danbolt U. 25. Engebakken T. E. 29. Neverdal L. 12. Synstelien D. M. G. (G)	22. Antonsen K. 14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 1. Lamhauge M. (G) 77. Mehnert M. 5. Sormo B. 80. Wikheim G.
Coaches
Berget O. P.	Hoseth M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Aanesland M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Melkersen E. ⚽, Vilsvik L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ingebrethsen E. ↓, Antonsen K. ↑,
46', Fremstad N. ↓, Danbolt U. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Melkersen E. ⚽, Krasniqi K. (A),
62', Aanesland M. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
66', Vilsvik L. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
66', Melkersen E. ↓, Wikheim G. ↑,
71', Danbolt U. 🟨,
78', Pingel S. ↓, Mehnert M. ↑,
82', Holter H. 🟨,
84', Antonsen K. 🟥,
86', Zekhnini R. 🟨,
87', Larsen M. ↓, Dalen Korsaksel J. ↑,
88', Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. ↓, Heredia-Randen A. ↑,
90+2', Sildnes E. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ PlayoffsFinal)).

Raufoss has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Strømsgodset is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Raufoss may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Strømsgodset as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Raufoss has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:14 (averaging 0.8:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Raufoss against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stromsgodset: 11.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stromsgodset	24	15	6	3	61:31	30	51
16	Raufoss	23	6	1	16	26:61	-35	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Elverum - Raufoss	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Raufoss - Odd	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	9:1 ✺
30.08.26	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	0:3 ✺
26.08.26	Strømmen - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLL
- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Strømsgodset - Sandnes Ulf	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.09.26	Asker Fotball - Strømsgodset	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.09.26	Odd - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sogndal - Strømsgodset	2:3 ✺
26.08.26	Strømsgodset - Hødd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	6:1
Norwegian NM Cup
12.03.22	Raufoss - Strømsgodset	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
23.02.22	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	3:1
09.06.20	Strømsgodset - Raufoss	3:0

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