Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 11

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bislett Stadium (Oslo)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Lyn		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.5
	2.15	3.5	2.95
				Watch
	2.04	3.8	3.48
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	3
	1.95	3.7	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.83)	3.59 ↑ (3.42)	3.29 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
45.6%

Draw
26%

Raufoss
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

26.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lyn's performance.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raufoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lyn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raufoss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Lyn - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Raufoss will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyn: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lyn (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyn (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 6. Midtskogen A. 29. Sylla M. 18. Nilsen H. 23. Laghzaoui S. 19. Myhre T. 14. Isufi E. 9. Olsen A. 28. Niang M. 10. Johansen M.	28. Jensen P. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 6. Orsahl J. 2. Engebakken T. 16. Sveen O. (C) 23. Selnaes J. S. 21. Agyeman Y. 20. Ampofo J. 24. Aanesland M.
Substitutes
17. Arzani D. 16. Berntsen A. 7. Burakovsky S. 5. Bydal E. 11. Hellum A. 77. Hylen B. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 2. Stalesen J. 12. Wold J. (G)	19. Aarflot E. 10. Badjie K. 33. Dalby M. 11. Fremstad N. 14. Lynum J. 8. Nelson R. 13. Nihorimbere A. 18. Somesi K. 29. Sorum E.
Coaches
Aadland M.	Dent T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Fors V. 🟨,
33', Isufi E. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Ampofo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Ampofo J. ↓, Aarflot E. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Niang M. ⚽, Johansen M. (A),
64', 1 - 2, Hay K. ⚽, Orsahl J. (A),
65', Engebakken T. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
65', Aanesland M. ↓, Lynum J. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Laghzaoui S. ⚽,
68', Myhre T. ↓, Bydal E. ↑,
68', Olsen A. ↓, Burakovsky S. ↑,
68', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Hellum A. ↑,
69', Hay K. ↓, Fremstad N. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Hellum A. ⚽, Bydal E. (A),
87', Selnaes J. S. ↓, Somesi K. ↑,
90+1', Hellum A. ↓, Ingebrigtsen M. ↑,
90+5', Pedersen A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Lyn has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Raufoss has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyn might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lyn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lyn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Start - Lyn	1:1 ✺
29.05.25	Lyn - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Kongsvinger - Lyn	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Moss - Lyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTL
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.06.25	Raufoss - Odd	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
24.05.25	Raufoss - Stabæk	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Raufoss - Start	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.09.24	Lyn - Raufoss	1:2
27.05.24	Raufoss - Lyn	1:0

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