Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 11

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Rayo Ibense		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.95	2.1
	3.3	2.65	2.12
	3.35	2.85	2.07
	3.52	2.76	2.15
	3.6	2.8	2.1
	3.56	3.02	2.05
	3.6	2.8	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.5)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	2.11 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Ibense
25.9%

Draw
31.6%

Elche Ilicitano
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Ibense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Ibense's form might have worsened.

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elche Ilicitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Ibense than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Ibense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elche Ilicitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Ibense - Elche Ilicitano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Rayo Ibense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ilicitano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Ibense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Rayo Ibense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.11.22	Español de San Vicente - Rayo Ibense	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Rayo Ibense - Acero	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Silla - Rayo Ibense	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rayo Ibense - Torrent	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Torrellano - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWTTL
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.11.22	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Levante B - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Español de San Vicente - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	0:0 ✺
16.10.22	Silla - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.01.19	Rayo Ibense - Elche Ilicitano	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.12.17	Elche Ilicitano - Rayo Ibense	1:0

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